Acceptable forecast variance?
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Dylan O'Sullivan on 16/9/2003 13:05:46.Topic has 4 posts; viewed 1204 times.Call Centre Answers [This topic is read only]Forum List | Unified View | Latest PostsPopular Topics | Editor's Choice | Voices WebLog
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Dylan O'SullivanCC Operations Design SpecialistFinancial Services290 posts0 friends welcomed
Acceptable forecast variance? [16/9/2003 13:05:46]
Hi What do people consider acceptable deviation in a 3 month rolling forecast? The team recieves no more than 10,000 calls per month. I am pushing for <3% but the R&MI team insist <5% is reasonable. Answers on a postcard please... thanks
nick applebyTelephony ConsultantNUI54 posts0 friends welcomed
MI [16/9/2003 16:28:47]
I personally like to rework the numbers provided by our S&P team down to as low a % as possible by we get figures from them based on about +- 5%. I think this may be the norm.
Dave ApplebyResource AnalystHealthcare Insurance1437 posts0 friends welcomed
Variance [16/9/2003 17:08:26]
I don't think you'll find a WFM Package that will guarantee more than +/- 5%. That said the one main advantage of WFM is not in the forecasting side (see my posts on Erlang and Excel). The main advantage is in the scheduling of staff and...... Dare I say it! Multi skilling / Skills based call routing. However IMHO do you want a programm telling you when each member of staff is working? I've found a high degree of resistance to the idea of a computer application telling staff when they are working. As it happens we don't work multi skilled so it makes sense to just define the rota and let the TM's work out who's working when. With a good Erlang app you can get to within the 5% easily just make sure of the sample data you give weighting 1 to the last 2 weeks and weighting 2 to teh previous month at the same time. HTH DaveA
+/- 5% it is then [17/9/2003 11:16:01]
Thanks peeps - looks like I'll have to be satisifed with the 5% variance then. Cheers.
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